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J.P. Morgan warns of economic risks from politicisation of U.S. labor data

Posted on: Aug 04 2025

J.P. Morgan’s North America Economic Research team has raised alarm over the dismissal of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, warning that it risks undermining the integrity of U.S. economic data and, by extension, the conduct of monetary policy and financial stability.

In a note titled “Concerning News from the BLS,” the bank cautioned that while much of the recent focus has been on potential politicisation of the Federal Reserve, an equally troubling development is the threat to the objectivity of federal data collection itself.

“To borrow from the soft-landing analogy, having a flawed instrument panel can be just as dangerous as having an obediently partisan pilot,” the note read, warning that compromised data would leave policymakers flying blind.

J.P. Morgan also pushed back against any notion that private-sector data could act as a viable replacement for official statistics. While the rise of alternative “big data” indicators has been notable over the past decade, the bank noted that such metrics are often benchmarked to federal sources and typically lack nationwide representativeness. Even small shifts in market share among data providers, it said, can distort macroeconomic signals — a problem federal data is specifically designed to avoid.

The analysts concluded that preserving the independence and integrity of institutions like the BLS is vital for sound economic decision-making, particularly at a time of heightened policy sensitivity.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
An income idea for Palantir shareholders

Posted on: Aug 02 2025

Palantir’s strong rally in 2025 and upcoming earnings create an opportunity for shareholders to explore income strategies. This article explains how selling a call option on shares you already own can generate premium while capping upside above a chosen strike price.

An income idea for Palantir shareholders

Five-year price chart of Palantir showing strong upward trend in 2024 and 2025 © Saxo

Palantir Technologies has been one of the standout performers in the AI space, with its stock price more than doubling this year on the back of growing demand for its AI-driven software and an expanding list of government contracts. The company will report its Q2 earnings on Monday, 4 August, a date that could bring heightened volatility as investors react to the results.

For long-term shareholders who already own at least 100 shares, this period of elevated uncertainty can also mean richer option premiums. Some investors use this as an opportunity to generate additional income from their existing holdings by selling a call option against their shares – a strategy known as a covered call.

What is the idea?

Selling a call option on stock you already own means you receive a premium upfront. In exchange, you agree to sell your shares at a fixed price (the strike price) if the stock rises above that level by the option’s expiry date.

This approach can be attractive when the stock has already rallied significantly and you are comfortable selling at a higher price. If the stock stays below the strike price, you simply keep the shares and the premium. Important note: The strategies and examples described are purely for educational purposes. They assist in shaping your thought process and should not be replicated or implemented without careful consideration. Every investor must conduct their own due diligence, considering their financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making decisions. Remember, investing in the stock market carries risks, so make informed decisions.

Option chain showing PLTR call option prices for 8 August expiry with $180 strike highlighted © Saxo

Today’s example set-up

  • PLTR stock price: around USD 158 (as of 31 July close)
  • Sell a 8 August 2025 call option with a USD 180 strike
  • Premium received: roughly USD 2.33 per share, or USD 233 for 100 shares

This premium represents about 1.5% of the current stock value in just one week. If PLTR stays below USD 180, you keep both your shares and the premium. If PLTR rises above USD 180, your shares would be sold at that price, giving you an effective sale price of USD 182.33 (strike price plus premium received).

What are the possible outcomes?

Covered call payoff graph for PLTR showing capped upside and premium income © Saxo
  1. Stock stays below USD 180: You keep the shares and the USD 233 premium.
  2. Stock rises above USD 180: Your shares are sold at USD 180, but you effectively receive USD 182.33 thanks to the premium. This is about 15% above the current price.
  3. Stock falls: You still keep the USD 233 premium, which helps offset part of the decline, but you remain exposed to the stock’s downside risk.

Why this strike and expiry?

The USD 180 strike sits just above recent analyst price targets, and the short one-week expiry captures the elevated option premiums ahead of earnings. The option’s delta of around 0.20 means there is roughly a one-in-five chance of assignment at expiry.

Key risks to keep in mind

  • Limited upside. If Palantir’s earnings surprise on the upside and the stock price jumps significantly, you will miss out on gains above the strike price.
  • No downside protection. The premium offers only a small cushion. A sharp drop in the share price will still result in a loss on the stock position.
  • Assignment risk. If the option is in the money at expiry, your shares will be sold at the strike price. You can buy back the option or roll it to another date, but this may involve additional costs.
  • Short time frame. With a one-week expiry, price moves after earnings can quickly lead to assignment or option value changes.

Key considerations

  • Upside is capped. If Palantir surprises with exceptionally strong earnings and the stock rallies well above USD 180, you miss out on further gains above that level.
  • Potential assignment. If the option expires in the money, your shares will be sold at the strike price. You can choose to buy back the option or roll it to a later date if you wish to stay invested.
  • Earnings risk remains. A covered call provides income but does not protect against a sharp drop in the stock price.

The bottom line

This example shows how some investors use periods of elevated volatility to generate additional income from stocks they already hold. By selling a call option on Palantir before earnings, a shareholder can collect premium upfront while still holding the stock – with the trade-off of capping their upside above the strike price.

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This material is marketing content and should not be regarded as investment advice. Trading financial instruments carries risks and historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options..
Koen HoorelbekeInvestment and Options StrategistSaxo Bank
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